MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 20:56:22| >> :600:516775:516775:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Nottingham Forest logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Newcastle

Silva (50')
Silva (53'), Abbott (54'), Moreno (72'), Dominguez (77'), Sangare (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willock (1')
Guimaraes (53'), Hall (67')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Newcastle United

 Fewer first team and squad players available may force Howe to field a strong Newcastle side here, and that could be to their advantage as they look to avenge Forest for those two second round cup defeats in the late 2010s. The hosts have made a good start in the league, but they will certainly face a sterner test here than the one offered to them by Southampton at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
31.86% (-1.137 -1.14) 23.63% (0.123 0.12) 44.5% (1.015 1.02)
Both teams to score 61.42% (-0.949 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65% (-1.038 -1.04)40.35% (1.042 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27% (-1.078 -1.08)62.72% (1.082 1.08)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-1.162 -1.16)24.69% (1.164 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-1.655 -1.65)59.23% (1.658 1.66)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56%18.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.39%49.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.86%
    Newcastle United 44.5%
    Draw 23.62%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.37% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.86%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.215 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.13 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.363 0.36)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.5%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
29.9%
Draw
16.4%
Newcastle United
53.7%
134
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Newcastle
Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')
> Match Report
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
> Match Report
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
8Aston Villa2110563132-135
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!