Newcastle1 - 0AFC Wimbledon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Newcastle United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon are enjoying an excellent start to the season, and they will enter this match in strong form. We are struggling to see anything other than a comfortable home success on Tuesday, but the visitors should be able to give their supporters a goal to cheer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
51.55% ( -1.53) | 22.35% ( 0.42) | 26.1% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
