MX23RW : Monday, January 6 04:55:05| >> :120:9665:9665:
Orlando City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 0
Atlanta

Enrique (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Charlotte FC (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 9 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs

Atlanta United

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Atlanta
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Atlanta United

 Eliminating Lionel Messi and friends is something those Five Stripe players will remember for the rest of their lives, but it will be hard to refocus after such an emotional triumph. Against Orlando, they are unlikely to find as many gaps in behind because the Lions are well-structured defensively, and we expect the overall balance of Pareja's side to lead them to the conference finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
63.19% (-0.968 -0.97) 19.57% (0.426 0.43) 17.24% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-1.037 -1.04)36.6% (1.039 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (-1.138 -1.14)58.75% (1.14 1.14)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (-0.548 -0.55)11.05% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.62% (-1.221 -1.22)35.38% (1.222 1.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.48% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 63.19%
    Atlanta United 17.24%
    Draw 19.57%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.57%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.24%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
48.1%
Draw
14.8%
Atlanta United
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
Orlando City
1-2
Atlanta
Ojeda (42')
Ojeda (62'), McGuire (90')
Lobzhanidze (7'), Thiare (16')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
Atlanta
2-0
Orlando City
Lobzhanidze (9'), Giakoumakis (70')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')

Jansson (49')
> Preview
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Orlando City
Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Jansson (45+3'), Cartagena (45+2'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
Atlanta
Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Orlando City
0-1
Atlanta
Almada (72')
> Preview
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