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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta
1 - 2
Orlando City

Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Cartagena (45+2'), Jansson (45+3'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City
Sunday, July 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Orlando City

 While there is little to choose between these sides based on their league position this season, Atlanta's home form of late cannot be overlooked. They are unbeaten in their last five, while Orlando have failed to win any of their last three matches on the road and have failed to score in their last two. We do not expect a clean sheet from the hosts, but we do fancy that they will get the win.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
60.46% (1.599 1.6) 21.32% (-0.714 -0.71) 18.22% (-0.885 -0.89)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (1.786 1.79)43.07% (-1.784 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (1.742 1.74)65.47% (-1.742 -1.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (1.09 1.09)13.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (2.115 2.12)41.15% (-2.113 -2.11)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.073 0.07)37.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.46%
    Orlando City 18.22%
    Draw 21.32%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.252 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.127 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Orlando City

Atlanta United
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Orlando City
12.5%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
Atlanta
Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Orlando City
0-1
Atlanta
Almada (72')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
> Preview
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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