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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United

Both sides are in similar veins of form, so we do not think there will be a great deal to separate the sides on Sunday. Orlando have been poor at home this season, while Atlanta are on a six-game winless run on the road, so we think the sides will share the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
42.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 32.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.052 -0.05)46.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)68.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.61% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.92%
    Atlanta United 32.08%
    Draw 25%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
52.9%
Draw
38.2%
Atlanta United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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