MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:13:17| >> :60:22:22:
Orlando City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Orlando City Stadium
Charlotte FC

Orlando City
1 - 1
Charlotte FC

Torres (90+12')
Enrique (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swiderski (81')
Agyemang (40'), Malanda (46'), Byrne (53'), Biel (83'), Bronico (84'), Urso (90+5')
Orlando City win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 0-0 Charlotte FC (Charlotte FC advance on penalties)

This match could go either way, with difference makers in goal on both sides; however, Kahlina may have a psychological edge after his shootout performance in game two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
61.73% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.75% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)40.22% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.159 -0.16)62.59% (0.165 0.16)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)12.54% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (-0.102 -0.1)38.57% (0.107 0.11)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.115 -0.12)36.11% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.12 -0.12)72.89% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.73%
    Charlotte FC 17.75%
    Draw 20.53%
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.73%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.75%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Charlotte FC

Orlando City
60.0%
Draw
13.3%
Charlotte FC
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 11.30pm
MLS Cup Round One
Charlotte FC
0-0
Orlando City
(Aggregate 0-0 | Charlotte FC win 3-1 on penalties)
Abada (45')
Jansson (35'), Schlegel (90+1'), Cartagena (90+7')
Oct 27, 2024 11.30pm
MLS Cup Round One
Orlando City
2-0
Charlotte FC
Torres (32'), Ojeda (77')
Cartagena (62')

Biel (90+1')
Sep 19, 2024 1.15am
Orlando City
2-0
Charlotte FC
Torres (52'), McGuire (89')
Ojeda (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (42'), Araujo (83'), Cartagena (90+8')

Bronico (36')
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-2
Orlando City
Vargas (12'), Bronico (77')
Byrne (90+1')
Arfield (38')
McGuire (64'), Torres (81')
McGuire (27'), Torres (50')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-1
Orlando City
Copetti (81' pen.)
Jones (72'), Copetti (90+5')
Ojeda (88')
Felipe (68'), Araujo (75')
rhs 2.0
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