Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.