Chesterfield

2 - 0

Oxford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 86.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.