Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.