MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 00:13:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swansea

Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Swansea City

Although both teams are going through a period where a win feels further way than it once did, we can only back Oxford to prevail from this contest courtesy of their impressive home record, one which comes accompanied with a strong defensive effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
34.92% (-0.398 -0.4) 26.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.99% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.68% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.215 -0.22)27.82% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.276 -0.28)63.41% (0.273 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.251 0.25)25.49% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.343 0.34)60.32% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 34.92%
    Swansea City 38.99%
    Draw 26.09%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.99%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
61.9%
Draw
26.2%
Swansea City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!