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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Oxford United

With Oxford proving difficult to beat of late, they will fancy their chances of continuing their unbeaten run in the North-East. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Black Cats, whose extra quality in the final third may lead to them prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
52.12% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 24.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.116 -0.12)48.13% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.106 -0.11)70.29% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.119 -0.12)18.44% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.204 -0.2)49.62% (0.209 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.12%
    Oxford United 23.77%
    Draw 24.11%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
72.6%
Draw
17.9%
Oxford United
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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