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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 1
Bristol City

Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Collecting seven points from an available nine at their South Wales base so far this season, Swansea should be confident of earning the derby bragging rights this weekend. Bristol City did well to stage a comeback and beat Oxford last time out, but we feel that the Robins' inconsistency could rear its ugly head once again at the Swansea.com Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
51.16% (0.193 0.19) 25.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)54.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.131 -0.13)75.58% (0.126 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.08% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.267 -0.27)38.4% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)75.16% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.15%
    Bristol City 23.31%
    Draw 25.52%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
71.1%
Draw
14.4%
Bristol City
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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