MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 04:49:22| >> :120:5364:5364:
Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 12am UK
Allianz Parque
Flamengo

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Flamengo

de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (7')
Ferreira (0')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigues de Souza (45+2'), Tite (46'), Pedro (62'), Luiz (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Palmeiras and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo (Flamengo advance 2-1 on aggregate)

The deficit is manageable for Palestra, but we have difficulty believing a team as well-drilled and consistent as Mengao would crumble as they have not lost by multiple goals all year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
44.13% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 25.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.36% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.065000000000005 0.07)49.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)71.49% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.089999999999989 0.09)30.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.11 0.11)66.33% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 44.13%
    Flamengo 30.36%
    Draw 25.49%
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.36%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Flamengo

Palmeiras
40.0%
Draw
23.3%
Flamengo
36.7%
30
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (57'), Araujo (72')
Pulgar (32')

Veiga (34'), Gomez (42'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (80'), Lazaro (82')
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Palmeiras
0-0
Flamengo
Mayke (21'), Pereira (42'), Henrique (45+3'), Weverton (69'), Ferreira (77'), Pulgar (84')
Rodrigues de Souza (15'), Tite (16'), Pereira (35'), Cerqueira (45+3'), Gomez (70')
Nov 9, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Flamengo
3-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (18', 64'), De Arrascaeta (29')
Pedro (16')

Vanderlan (89')
Gomez (48')
Jul 9, 2023 1am
Gameweek 14
Palmeiras
1-1
Flamengo
Dudu (24')
Mayke (35'), Rios (76')
De Arrascaeta (81')
Hugo (33'), Lucas (55'), Bruno (73')
Aug 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
1-1
Flamengo
Veiga (66')
Hugo (29')
Gomes (50'), Vidal (89')
rhs 2.0
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