MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:46:06| >> :60:1594:1594:
Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 12am UK
Allianz Parque
Flamengo

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Flamengo

de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (7')
Ferreira (0')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigues de Souza (45+2'), Tite (46'), Pedro (62'), Luiz (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Palmeiras and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo (Flamengo advance 2-1 on aggregate)

The deficit is manageable for Palestra, but we have difficulty believing a team as well-drilled and consistent as Mengao would crumble as they have not lost by multiple goals all year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
44.13% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 25.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.36% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.065000000000005 0.07)49.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)71.49% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.089999999999989 0.09)30.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.11 0.11)66.33% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 44.13%
    Flamengo 30.36%
    Draw 25.49%
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.36%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Flamengo

Palmeiras
40.0%
Draw
23.3%
Flamengo
36.7%
30
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (57'), Araujo (72')
Pulgar (32')

Veiga (34'), Gomez (42'), de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (80'), Lazaro (82')
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Palmeiras
0-0
Flamengo
Mayke (21'), Pereira (42'), Henrique (45+3'), Weverton (69'), Ferreira (77'), Pulgar (84')
Rodrigues de Souza (15'), Tite (16'), Pereira (35'), Cerqueira (45+3'), Gomez (70')
Nov 9, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Flamengo
3-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (18', 64'), De Arrascaeta (29')
Pedro (16')

Vanderlan (89')
Gomez (48')
Jul 9, 2023 1am
Gameweek 14
Palmeiras
1-1
Flamengo
Dudu (24')
Mayke (35'), Rios (76')
De Arrascaeta (81')
Hugo (33'), Lucas (55'), Bruno (73')
Aug 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
1-1
Flamengo
Veiga (66')
Hugo (29')
Gomes (50'), Vidal (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!