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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Almere City |
44.93% ( 0.17) | 24.29% ( -0.04) | 30.78% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.52% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( 0.09) | 43.92% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( 0.09) | 66.3% ( -0.08) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.29% ( 0.11) | 19.7% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( 0.17) | 51.71% ( -0.17) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( -0.05) | 27.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( -0.06) | 62.5% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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