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Championship header 2

Championship
Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Birmingham logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Birmingham

Edwards (43'), Waine (68'), Whittaker (86')
Edwards (26'), Randell (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stansfield (15'), James (39'), Bacuna (62')
Stansfield (16'), Longelo (60'), Bacuna (63'), James (70'), Miyoshi (87')
Bielik (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Rotherham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Leicester
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Birmingham City

 Saturday's match will be a real test of Plymouth's character following the departure of fans' favourite Schumacher in the build-up, but the Pilgrims should be confident of earning a win regardless. Birmingham's high pressing could unsettle for the hosts in the early stages, and we reckon that Rooney's men will battle to an away point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBirmingham City
49.2% (-0.19 -0.19) 22.47% (0.038 0.04) 28.33% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)36.79% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)58.96% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)15.3% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98% (-0.172 -0.17)44.02% (0.166 0.17)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)59.85% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 49.2%
    Birmingham City 28.33%
    Draw 22.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Birmingham

Plymouth Argyle
47.9%
Draw
25.0%
Birmingham City
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Birmingham
2-1
Plymouth
Hogan (8'), Stansfield (90+5')
Sanderson (23'), Buchanan (73')
Hardie (60')
Randell (49')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Third Round
Birmingham
0-1
Plymouth

Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
Law (104')
Houghton (55')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham

Fallon (90')
Carsley (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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