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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
31.1% ( -0.29) | 23.61% ( 0.13) | 45.29% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% ( -0.78) | 40.6% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37% ( -0.81) | 62.99% ( 0.8) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.56) | 25.28% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.77) | 60.05% ( 0.76) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% ( -0.26) | 18.22% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.75% ( -0.43) | 49.24% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.64% Total : 45.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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