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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.22% ( -0.12) | 26.19% ( -0.05) | 40.58% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.17) | 51.42% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.15) | 73.23% ( -0.15) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( 0.01) | 29.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( 0.01) | 65.2% ( -0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.17) | 24.98% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.23) | 59.62% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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