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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

With momentum in their favour, Preston are justifiably favourites to come through this contest on home territory. However, Boro are in a position where they need a response, and we are backing Carrick's side to deliver, even if it is only in the form of a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
32.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 24.16% (0.208 0.21) 42.89% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.81 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.035 -1.04)42.48% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.041 -1.04)64.88% (1.045 1.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.584 -0.58)25.08% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.816 -0.82)59.77% (0.817 0.82)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)19.99% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (-0.736 -0.74)52.18% (0.738 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.94%
    Middlesbrough 42.9%
    Draw 24.16%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
56.9%
Draw
22.2%
Middlesbrough
20.8%
72
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Jones (16', 37'), Van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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