We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Rennes
PSG have been dominant in all of their fixtures this season and are likely to be in control once again on Friday, leading us to expect a comfortable win for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
62.1% ( 1.79) | 20.29% ( -0.58) | 17.61% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.66) | 39.35% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.68) | 61.69% ( -0.69) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.71) | 12.16% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.21% ( 1.48) | 37.79% ( -1.48) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.93) | 35.74% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.97) | 72.51% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.61% |
