Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.72% ( -0.43) | 20.93% ( -0.16) | 55.36% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 64.34% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.45% ( 0.31) | 33.56% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.64% ( 0.35) | 55.36% ( -0.35) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.16) | 26.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( -0.21) | 61.95% ( 0.21) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% ( 0.28) | 12.23% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.06% ( 0.57) | 37.94% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 33 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |