Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
62.1% ( 1.79) | 20.29% ( -0.58) | 17.61% ( -1.21) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.64% ( 0.66) | 39.35% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.31% ( 0.68) | 61.69% ( -0.69) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% ( 0.71) | 12.16% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.21% ( 1.48) | 37.79% ( -1.48) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.25% ( -0.93) | 35.74% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.48% ( -0.97) | 72.51% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |