We said: Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 Brest
Salzburg are sure to seize the initiative in their first home game of the league phase, and their bunch of talented youngsters could overrun a struggling Brest side.
Considering the visitors' recent woes at the back, goals are almost guaranteed for the hosts, who will end their wait for a Champions League win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.98%. A win for Brest had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.