Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Marseille |
40.55% ( 0.03) | 26.06% ( -0) | 33.39% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.58% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0.02) | 50.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0.02) | 72.69% ( -0.02) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% ( 0.03) | 24.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( 0.03) | 59.26% ( -0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( -0.01) | 28.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( -0.01) | 64.68% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |