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Ligue 1
Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Montpellier

St Etienne
1 - 0
Montpellier

Bouchouari (47')
Davitashvili (57'), Boakye (62'), Bouchouari (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chotard (28'), Nzingoula (34'), Tchato (41'), Sylla (56'), Al Tamari (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 St Etienne
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-1 Montpellier HSC

 Montpellier took 14 points from their final six away games last season, and after getting their first win under Gasset before the break, this could be the perfect chance to open their account on the road. Saint-Etienne's record at home is evidently their strong point, but form in general has been hugely underwhelming, and while they are favourites here, it is unlikely to be plain sailing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMontpellier HSC
48.58% (-0.306 -0.31) 23.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.69% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 58.37% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.276 0.28)43.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.269 0.27)65.6% (-0.267 -0.27)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)17.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.37599999999999 0.38)28.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.463 0.46)64.74% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 48.58%
    Montpellier HSC 27.69%
    Draw 23.73%
Saint-EtienneDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 27.69%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Montpellier

Saint-Etienne
54.3%
Draw
39.4%
Montpellier HSC
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Montpellier
1-2
St Etienne
Khazri (85' pen.)
Gauthier (14'), Sissoko (57')
Abdelhamid (20')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 23
St Etienne
3-1
Montpellier
Hamouma (82'), Nordin (90'), Khazri (90+2')
Mangala (16')
Wahi (11')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 5
Montpellier
2-0
St Etienne
Mavididi (32'), Germain (62')
Wahi (34')

Bouanga (55'), Neyou (69'), Nade (73'), Saban (88')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 4.05pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-2
St Etienne
Delort (6')
Benchama (80'), Der Zakarian (85'), Dolly (90+1')
Hamouma (16'), Debuchy (50')
Silva (47')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 9
St Etienne
0-1
Montpellier

Khazri (31'), Hamouma (51'), Aouchiche (72')
Mavididi (14')
Laborde (63'), Dolly (68'), Yun (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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