Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
48.58% ( -0.31) | 23.73% ( -0.01) | 27.69% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( 0.28) | 43.2% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( 0.27) | 65.6% ( -0.27) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( -0.01) | 17.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 48.74% ( 0.03) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( 0.38) | 28.88% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( 0.46) | 64.74% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |