We said: St Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles FC
St Louis City have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will fancy their chances on Wednesday as they take on a Los Angeles side whose form on the road is currently nothing to write home about. That said, we predict a cagey affair at Citypark, with St Louis claiming a narrow victory in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.