We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 St Louis City
The Black and Gold have continuously found ways to pick themselves back up when in a slump, and we expect a determined and solid all-around performance from them this week.
St Louis are happy to hang back and allow opposing teams easy access to their half of the field, but pressing effectively in the humid California conditions could be tricky, as could containing a side with a lot more depth and quality in the attacking third than their previous two opponents (the Colorado Rapids and Toronto).
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.