Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
33.08% ( 0.04) | 25.03% ( -0.01) | 41.89% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.04) | 46.42% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.04) | 68.7% ( -0.04) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.04) | 26.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.06) | 62.21% ( -0.06) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0) | 22.12% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% | 55.5% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |