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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
43.5% ( -2.18) | 23.08% ( 0.07) | 33.42% ( 2.11) |
Both teams to score 64.11% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.91% ( 0.54) | 37.09% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.71% ( 0.58) | 59.28% ( -0.58) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.46% ( -0.64) | 17.54% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.93% ( -1.13) | 48.07% ( 1.13) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( 1.45) | 22.25% ( -1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( 2.14) | 55.69% ( -2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.18) Other @ 4.02% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |