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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
44.67% ( -0.2) | 24.74% ( 0.04) | 30.58% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( -0.11) | 46.05% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( -0.11) | 68.35% ( 0.11) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( -0.13) | 20.69% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( -0.21) | 53.28% ( 0.21) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% ( 0.05) | 28.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% ( 0.06) | 64.03% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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