Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 17, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-0 Sao Paulo
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, October 6 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 6 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Vasco da Gama
Both sides are struggling at the moment, but Sao Paulo seem to recover quicker following a disappointing result, which is why we project them to win a close one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
56.49% ( 0.8) | 24.58% ( -0.23) | 18.93% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
