Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Brasilia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Corinthians |
51.8% ( -0.02) | 26.61% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
