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World Cup
Sao Tome and Principe national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal
Liberia national football team

Sao Tome
0 - 1
Liberia


Silva (44'), R (45'), Silva (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sesay (90')
Dweh (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Malawi 3-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Liberia

Last Game: Namibia 1-1 Liberia
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Sao Tome & Principe 1-2 Liberia

 Having recorded just two clean sheets across their last nine years of action, Sao Tome have struggled defensively and Liberia will be aiming to take advantage. We expect an end-to-end affair here with the visitors just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liberia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liberia.

Result
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawLiberia
25.33% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 26.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 47.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.51% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (0.035 0.04)78.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.071000000000005 0.07)38.59% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (0.067 0.07)75.33% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Tome & Principe 25.33%
    Liberia 47.74%
    Draw 26.94%
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.39% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.74%

How you voted: Sao Tome vs Liberia

Sao Tome & Principe
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Liberia
64.7%
34
rhs 2.0
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