We said: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Indonesia
Saudi Arabia are heavy favourites to come out on top against the lowest-ranked nation left in qualifying, and manager Mancini needs to start with three points.
Brunei, Vietnam and the Philippines are the only sides Indonesia have beaten across the last 12 months, as Shin Tae-yong's side have won just four of their last 14 outings, and they could be seriously outclassed in this section
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.