Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
