Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior0 - 3Nijmegen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 NEC
Clean sheets have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we are anticipating an open contest here. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | NEC |
35.42% ( 0.12) | 23.52% ( 0.22) | 41.06% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 63.03% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
