FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Scarborough Ath3 - 1Chester
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chester FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chester FC |
38.97% ( 0.06) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 35.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
