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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Chicago Fire

Seattle
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rusnak (57' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Ragen (78'), Rusnak (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haile-Selassie (30')
Pineda (42'), Dean (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire

Heading into this fixture, both history and momentum favors the hosts, which is why we think they will extend their dominance on home soil on Sunday. The visitors have been on the road for three consecutive match days, and this could also take its toll, especially on a team appearing to lack resilience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
63.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.78% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)39.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.83% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 63.24%
    Chicago Fire 16.31%
    Draw 20.43%
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.57%
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.43%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Seattle vs Chicago Fire

Seattle Sounders
76.9%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 1am
Jul 14, 2020 2pm
Chicago Fire
2-1
Seattle
Beric (52'), Pineda (84')
Herbers (22')
Bwana (77')
Hopeau (41'), Gomez Andrade (60'), Ruidiaz (90')
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Seattle
2-1
Chicago Fire
Morris (62', 90')
Delem (80'), Paulo (86')
Beric (46')
Herbers (72')
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 4
Chicago Fire
2-4
Seattle
Edwards (56'), Herbers (84')
Edwards (64'), Herbers (92')
Rodriguez (8'), Morris (15'), Lodeiro (49' pen.), Ruidiaz (88')
Roldan (77')
Jun 24, 2018 3am
Gameweek 19
Seattle
1-1
Chicago Fire
Dempsey (22')
Roldan (87'), Tolo (91')
Katai (9')
Schweinsteiger (44'), Campbell (61'), Collier (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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