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Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Chicago Fire

Seattle
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rusnak (57' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Ragen (78'), Rusnak (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haile-Selassie (30')
Pineda (42'), Dean (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire

 Heading into this fixture, both history and momentum favors the hosts, which is why we think they will extend their dominance on home soil on Sunday. The visitors have been on the road for three consecutive match days, and this could also take its toll, especially on a team appearing to lack resilience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
63.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 16.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.78% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)39.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.83% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 63.24%
    Chicago Fire 16.31%
    Draw 20.43%
Seattle SoundersDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.57%
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.43%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Seattle vs Chicago Fire

Seattle Sounders
76.9%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Seattle
Rowe (25')
> Preview
Jul 14, 2020 2pm
Chicago Fire
2-1
Seattle
Beric (52'), Pineda (84')
Herbers (22')
Bwana (77')
Hopeau (41'), Gomez Andrade (60'), Ruidiaz (90')
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Seattle
2-1
Chicago Fire
Morris (62', 90')
Delem (80'), Paulo (86')
Beric (46')
Herbers (72')
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 4
Chicago Fire
2-4
Seattle
Edwards (56'), Herbers (84')
Edwards (64'), Herbers (92')
Rodriguez (8'), Morris (15'), Lodeiro (49' pen.), Ruidiaz (88')
Roldan (77')
Jun 24, 2018 3am
Gameweek 19
Seattle
1-1
Chicago Fire
Dempsey (22')
Roldan (87'), Tolo (91')
Katai (9')
Schweinsteiger (44'), Campbell (61'), Collier (85')
rhs 2.0
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