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Championship header 2

Championship
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
4 - 2
Derby

Bannan (8'), Windass (61'), Gassama (63'), Musaba (74')
Charles (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yates (68'), Adams (90+1')
Adams (32'), Goudmijn (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, December 29 at 5.45pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Derby County

 Seeing in the New Year in front of their passionate Hillsborough faithful, Sheffield Wednesday should be confident of putting Derby to the sword during this encounter. The Rams have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels since returning to the division in August, and we feel that narrative will continue into 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (0.012 0.01)54.87% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)76.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)22.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)56.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 48.45%
    Derby County 25.39%
    Draw 26.14%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.45%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Derby County
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Derby
1-2
Sheff Weds
Adams (9')
Adams (37'), Harness (47'), Osborn (71'), Elder (85'), Jackson (90+5')
Bannan (64'), Lowe (90+4')
Bannan (21')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Smith (43' pen.)
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds
> Preview
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
> Match Report
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921
> Championship Full Table


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