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League One
Sheffield Wednesday logo
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)
Brown (61'), Palmer (74'), Johnson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (43'), Smith (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County

 Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
50.6% (0.424 0.42) 25.52% (-0.168 -0.17) 23.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.42599999999999 0.43)53.67% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.357 0.36)75.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.355 0.36)21.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.54799999999999 0.55)54.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
    Derby County 23.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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