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League One
Sheffield Wednesday logo
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)
Brown (61'), Palmer (74'), Johnson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (43'), Smith (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County

 Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
50.6% (0.424 0.42) 25.52% (-0.168 -0.17) 23.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.42599999999999 0.43)53.67% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.357 0.36)75.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.355 0.36)21.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.54799999999999 0.55)54.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
    Derby County 23.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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