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League One
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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds


Dobbin (52'), Bird (64')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

 Derby County look to be improving under Paul Warne and they do possess quality, but we see the visitors being slightly too strong and extending their dominant run of form with a narrow away win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.49% (0.674 0.67) 25.25% (-0.15 -0.15) 34.27% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.57700000000001 0.58)47.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.534 0.53)69.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.596 0.6)23.11% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.862 -0.86)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.49%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%
    Draw 25.25%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Weds

Derby County
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Johnson (10')
Bogle (43'), Holmes (45')
Iorfa (57')
Reach (27'), Palmer (91'), Winnall (94')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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@
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6pm
Broncos
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Bills
9.30pm
Packers
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Eagles
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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