Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Juba Stadium
South Sudan3 - 2Congo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: South Sudan 1-2 Congo
While South Sudan have little to play for in Thursday's clash, we expect them to put up a decent fight as they look to avoid a fifth straight defeat. That said, we just about fancy Congo to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
South Sudan | Draw | Congo |
30.02% ( -1.25) | 28.41% ( -0.35) | 41.56% ( 1.59) |
Both teams to score 45.39% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.33% ( 0.85) | 60.66% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.26% ( 0.63) | 80.74% ( -0.64) |
South Sudan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.48) | 36.28% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.93% ( -0.49) | 73.07% ( 0.49) |
Congo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( 1.32) | 28.75% ( -1.33) |