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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
54.28% ( -3.15) | 21.58% ( 1.1) | 24.13% ( 2.06) |
Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.71% ( -2.87) | 36.28% ( 2.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.59% ( -3.21) | 58.41% ( 3.22) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( -1.85) | 13.46% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( -3.85) | 40.45% ( 3.85) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( 0.05) | 27.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( 0.07) | 63.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.6% Total : 24.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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