Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2 - 1Coventry
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City
Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
54.28% ( -3.15) | 21.58% ( 1.1) | 24.13% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -2.87) | 36.28% ( 2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -3.21) | 58.41% ( 3.22) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -1.85) | 13.46% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.55% ( -3.85) | 40.45% ( 3.85) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.05) | 27.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.52% ( 0.07) | 63.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 54.29%
Coventry City 24.13%
Draw 21.58%
| Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.6% Total : 24.13% |
How you voted: Southampton vs Coventry
Southampton
36.8%Draw
28.9%Coventry City
34.2%76
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Coventry
1-1
Southampton
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
Form Guide
