Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
53.54% ( 0.02) | 22.23% ( -0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.74% ( 0.03) | 39.26% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.41% ( 0.03) | 61.6% ( -0.03) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( 0.02) | 14.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% ( 0.03) | 42.92% ( -0.03) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% ( 0.01) | 29.41% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( 0.01) | 65.41% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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