MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 22:16:45| >> :60:53:53:
Southampton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 10am UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Montpellier

Southampton
3 - 1
Montpellier

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Southampton and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Southampton
Wednesday, July 24 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Girona 3-3 Montpellier
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Southampton 3-2 Montpellier HSC

Southampton's pre-season friendlies have seen plenty of goals, so expect a similarly exciting match on Saturday. Considering that Montpellier have only played one pre-season game so far, their energy levels might be a tier below the Saints' and this disparity should see Martin's side come into the clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
62.77% (-0.424 -0.42) 19.04% (0.139 0.14) 18.19% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 62.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)32.25% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)53.86% (0.222 0.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)9.89% (0.1531 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.366 -0.37)32.78% (0.357 0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.161 0.16)30.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.191 0.19)67.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 62.77%
    Montpellier HSC 18.19%
    Draw 19.04%
SouthamptonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 62.77%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.19%

How you voted: Southampton vs Montpellier

Southampton
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Montpellier HSC
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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