We said: Southampton 3-2 Montpellier HSC
Southampton's pre-season friendlies have seen plenty of goals, so expect a similarly exciting match on Saturday.
Considering that Montpellier have only played one pre-season game so far, their energy levels might be a tier below the Saints' and this disparity should see Martin's side come into the clash as favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.