MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 14:24:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Burnley logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley


Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley

Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
41.24% (0.124 0.12) 27.08% (0.029 0.03) 31.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.155 -0.16)55.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.127 -0.13)76.54% (0.125 0.13)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)32.25% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.212 -0.21)68.75% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.24%
    Burnley 31.68%
    Draw 27.07%
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley

Stoke City
15.3%
Draw
15.3%
Burnley
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!