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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Burnley logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley


Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley

Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
41.24% (0.124 0.12) 27.08% (0.029 0.03) 31.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.155 -0.16)55.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.127 -0.13)76.54% (0.125 0.13)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)32.25% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.212 -0.21)68.75% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.24%
    Burnley 31.68%
    Draw 27.07%
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley

Stoke City
15.3%
Draw
15.3%
Burnley
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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