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EFL Cup
Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Stoke
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Rose (54')
Thompson (18'), Bae (33'), Manhoef (45+4'), Johansson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (90+1')
Helm (28'), Mayor (45+4'), Bolton (57')
Stoke win 2-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Fleetwood Town

 Given that Fleetwood have already beaten two sides from higher divisions in the EFL Cup this season, it would not be surprising if they were to do so again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Stoke field a similarly youthful XI to the one that beat Middlesbrough, the visitors could look to take advantage of their hosts' inexperience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
50.38% (-1.289 -1.29) 23.47% (0.16 0.16) 26.14% (1.132 1.13)
Both teams to score 57.9% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (0.261 0.26)43.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.257 0.26)65.61% (-0.256 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.38000000000001 -0.38)17.25% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (-0.669 -0.67)47.56% (0.668 0.67)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (1.027 1.03)30.03% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (1.218 1.22)66.15% (-1.217 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 50.38%
    Fleetwood Town 26.14%
    Draw 23.47%
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.211 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Fleetwood

Stoke City
64.4%
Draw
12.2%
Fleetwood Town
23.3%
90
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
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1-1
Fleetwood
Campbell (36')
Batty (63')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
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2-1
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> Match Report
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