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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Fleetwood

Wyke (42' pen., 52')
Hayden (20'), Biggins (78'), Davies (79'), Jones (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mayor (10', 67'), Coughlin (19')
Helm (21'), Virtue (58'), Coughlin (77'), Johnston (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.14% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.65% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)51.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)26.14% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05)61.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.14%
    Fleetwood Town 35.65%
    Draw 26.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
1-1
Carlisle
Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
Moxon (27')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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