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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.83% ( -0.53) | 23.38% ( 0.14) | 29.79% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.82% ( -0.45) | 40.18% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.45% ( -0.46) | 62.55% ( 0.46) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( -0.37) | 17.44% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.09% ( -0.66) | 47.9% ( 0.66) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( 0.03) | 25.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% ( 0.04) | 60.89% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.95% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |