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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
44.94% ( -0.02) | 25.43% ( -0) | 29.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( 0.02) | 49.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( 0.02) | 71.5% ( -0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( 0) | 21.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% ( 0) | 55.29% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% ( 0.02) | 30.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% ( 0.03) | 66.95% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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