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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.94%
    Plymouth Argyle 29.63%
    Draw 25.42%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Stoke vs Plymouth

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Plymouth Argyle
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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