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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.94%
    Plymouth Argyle 29.63%
    Draw 25.42%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Stoke vs Plymouth

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Plymouth Argyle
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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