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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
44.94% ( -0.02) | 25.43% ( -0) | 29.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( 0.02) | 49.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( 0.02) | 71.5% ( -0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( 0) | 21.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% ( 0) | 55.29% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% ( 0.02) | 30.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% ( 0.03) | 66.95% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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